South Africa has come out of one of its most important chapters in its young democratic history. Holding democratic elections which many countries simply cannot live up to. One of the most surprising outcomes was the poor performance of the ruling African National Congress (ANC) party which performed even below the worst case scenario as the party lost its majority for the first time since getting into power under Nelson Mandela in 1994. I included as I placed them on at least 48%. This has meant the very high likelihood of a coalition government which will not be an easy task as the ANC will have to compromise and work with other parties in order to effectively promote stability in the nation. A trojan horse for the ANC came in the form of former President Jacob Zuma's less than a year old Umkhonto we Sizwe (MK) party which has created political Shockwaves throughout South Africa and came at a strong third place with almost 15% of the vote in such a short space of time. The MK party likely took away votes from the ANC and the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) party as its supporters political views are not far off from both parties. The ANC has been seen as an "umbrella party" of different views and the MK party likely took away votes from the left wing of that party, particularly those who support Radical Economic Transformation (RET) policies such as the expropriation of land to the local population which is very popular amongst its supporters. The Democratic Alliance (DA) came in second place with about 22% of the votes and had managed to hold on to the Western Cape which has been seen as the most well run province. The DA's policies are not far off from those of the "ANC of Ramaphosa "(as termed by former President Jacob Zuma) and there are talks of a possible unity government between the two which some analysts state will be in the best interests for South Africa's economy as the markets were negative about an ANC-EFF-MK alliance. Although the ANC polled at around 40%, many see the MK and EFF as just factions of the ANC and the combined total of these three parties reaches over 60% which shows a strong connection to the former ruling party with many members in the EFF and MK finding their origins in the ANC.
One highly unlikely outcome but narrowly possible is a surprise unity of all opposition parties when they all meet in the National Assembly to vote for a President as South Africa's elections are not based on voting for a personality but a party, as the President is voted in the National Assembly and as this day draws ever near, one wonders what surprises and twist and turns will occur that could turn the country on a different trajectory. Whatever scenario occurs South Africa's democratic institutions will be put to the test yet again and reveal the strength of the Rainbow nation and what this would mean for the Southern African Development Community (SADC) region and Africa as a whole. This important vote in choosing a President will take place today, Friday, June 14, 2024.
UPDATE: Cyril Ramaphosa was elected in the National Assembly for a second term as South Africa's President. He was up against the leader of the EFF Julius Malema. Ramaphosa received 283 votes while Malema received 44 votes. South Africa will have a Government of National Unity (GNU).
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